Unveiling 2024: Market Outlook and Key Trends Get your free copy
-
UK
- Australia - English
- België - Nederlands
- Belgique - Français
- Brazil - Portuguese
- Canada - English
- Česká Republika - Čeština
- Deutschland - Deutsch
- España - Español
- France - Français
- Ελλάδα - Ελληνικά
- Hong Kong - English
- Hong Kong - Traditional Chinese
- Italia - Italiano
- Luxembourg - English
- Nederland - Nederlands
- Polska - Polski
- Portugal - Português
- România - Română
- Schweiz - Deutsch
- Suisse - Français
- Sverige - Svenska
- United Arab Emirates - English
- United Kingdom - English
Contact our experts
Ebury London
100 Victoria Street
London
SW1E 5JL
+44 (0) 20 3872 6670
[email protected]
Ebury.com
Hopes of Brexit breakthrough sends Pound sharply higher
- Go back to blog home
- Latest
3 April 2019
Senior Market Analyst at Ebury. Providing expert currency analysis so small and mid-sized businesses can effectively navigate international markets.
Sterling jumped by around three-quarters of a percent against the US Dollar on Tuesday evening, extending its gains this morning, after Theresa May stated that the UK government would seek another extension to the Brexit deadline.
Whether these talks yield any sort of common ground remains to be seen, but the market has treated it as a positive development. Traders briefly lifted Sterling to its highest level in a week this morning, although news that the UK’s services PMI had fallen into contractionary territory in March reversed much of these gains.
Upwardly revised PMI data allays EZ recession fears
A slightly better-than-expected set of PMI data out of the Eurozone this morning helped lift the Euro off its near two year lows on Wednesday.
The common currency has been under heavy downward pressure in the past few weeks as a string of fairly dire macroeconomic data out of the bloc has raised genuine concerns over the possibility of an imminent recession. These concerns were allayed somewhat this morning after the March services PMI was revised upwards. The critical index was revised up to 53.3 after investors had eyed a 52.7 reading. This marks a fairly rare divergence with the manufacturing index, which fell to its lowest level in six years last month (Figure 1)
Figure 1: Eurozone Composite PMI (2016 – 2019)
Mixed economic data buffets US Dollar
A fairly mixed set of news out of the US has buffeted the Dollar in both directions so far this week. On Monday, some fairly encouraging news out of the manufacturing sector was offset by dismal retail sales figures. The latter, seen as one of the most important US data releases on the economic calendar, contracted for the second time in the past three months in February, reinforcing the view that the world’s largest economy likely slowed in the first quarter of 2019.
Next up will be this afternoon’s non-manufacturing PMI for March from ISM, although one eye will be on Friday’s all-important nonfarm payrolls report. We think that a strong report here could be enough for another bout of Euro weakness and send the critical EUR/USD cross back towards its mid-2017 lows.
Cookies and Privacy
This site uses cookies to ensure you get the best experience. For more information see our Privacy NoticeAccept Settings Reject
Privacy Overview
Cookie | Duration | Description |
---|---|---|
cf_use_ob | past | This cookie is set by the provider Cloudflare content delivery network. This cookie is used for determining whether it should continue serving "Always Online" until the cookie expires. |
cookielawinfo-checkbox-advertisement | 1 year | The cookie is set by GDPR cookie consent to record the user consent for the cookies in the category "Advertisement". |
cookielawinfo-checkbox-analytics | 11 months | This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Analytics". |
cookielawinfo-checkbox-functional | 11 months | The cookie is set by GDPR cookie consent to record the user consent for the cookies in the category "Functional". |
cookielawinfo-checkbox-necessary | 11 months | This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookies is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Necessary". |
cookielawinfo-checkbox-others | 11 months | This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Other. |
cookielawinfo-checkbox-performance | 11 months | This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Performance". |
viewed_cookie_policy | 11 months | The cookie is set by the GDPR Cookie Consent plugin and is used to store whether or not user has consented to the use of cookies. It does not store any personal data. |
Cookie | Duration | Description |
---|---|---|
_ga | 2 years | This cookie is installed by Google Analytics. The cookie is used to calculate visitor, session, campaign data and keep track of site usage for the site's analytics report. The cookies store information anonymously and assign a randomly generated number to identify unique visitors. |
_ga_P8154YCRDP | 2 years | This cookie is installed by Google Analytics. |
_gat_gtag_UA_51187572_50 | 1 minute | Google uses this cookie to distinguish users. |
_gid | 1 day | This cookie is installed by Google Analytics. The cookie is used to store information of how visitors use a website and helps in creating an analytics report of how the website is doing. The data collected including the number visitors, the source where they have come from, and the pages visted in an anonymous form. |
_hjFirstSeen | 30 minutes | This is set by Hotjar to identify a new user’s first session. It stores a true/false value, indicating whether this was the first time Hotjar saw this user. It is used by Recording filters to identify new user sessions. |
_hjid | 1 year | This cookie is set by Hotjar. This cookie is set when the customer first lands on a page with the Hotjar script. It is used to persist the random user ID, unique to that site on the browser. This ensures that behavior in subsequent visits to the same site will be attributed to the same user ID. |
CONSENT | 16 years 4 months 14 hours 27 minutes | These cookies are set via embedded youtube-videos. They register anonymous statistical data on for example how many times the video is displayed and what settings are used for playback.No sensitive data is collected unless you log in to your google account, in that case your choices are linked with your account, for example if you click “like” on a video. |
pardot | past | The cookie is set when the visitor is logged in as a Pardot user. |
Cookie | Duration | Description |
---|---|---|
IDE | 1 year 24 days | Used by Google DoubleClick and stores information about how the user uses the website and any other advertisement before visiting the website. This is used to present users with ads that are relevant to them according to the user profile. |
test_cookie | 15 minutes | This cookie is set by doubleclick.net. The purpose of the cookie is to determine if the user's browser supports cookies. |
VISITOR_INFO1_LIVE | 5 months 27 days | This cookie is set by Youtube. Used to track the information of the embedded YouTube videos on a website. |
YSC | session | This cookies is set by Youtube and is used to track the views of embedded videos. |
yt-remote-connected-devices | never | These cookies are set via embedded youtube-videos. |
yt-remote-device-id | never | These cookies are set via embedded youtube-videos. |
Cookie | Duration | Description |
---|---|---|
_lfa | 2 years | This cookie is set by the provider Leadfeeder. This cookie is used for identifying the IP address of devices visiting the website. The cookie collects information such as IP addresses, time spent on website and page requests for the visits.This collected information is used for retargeting of multiple users routing from the same IP address. |